WN 3561 · PIT → STL

departs 6:25 AM ET · arrives 7:16 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8793Q (B38M), coming in as WN 777 from BWI: landed 12:15 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

98% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at STL that day

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3561 · PIT → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?