Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3595 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 2 Tomorrow

WN 3595 · RNO → SAN

departs 9:01 PM PT · arrives 10:43 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±7 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3595 · RNO → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?