WN 3654 · RSW → MKE

took off 12:01 PM ET · expected to land 1:40 PM CT (scheduled 9:29 AM ET → 11:43 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MKE?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
39%
Over 2 hours late
61%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at RSW that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ 9am departures from RSW are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.25 in

MKE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling767 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3654 · RSW → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?