Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3749
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 3749 · SAT → ELP
departs 9:15 PM CT · arrives 9:57 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 35%
Fri 11/6 35%
Sat 11/7 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ELP at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
ELP (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.