WN 3762 · DEN → RNO

took off 1:10 PM MT · landed 2:06 PM PT (scheduled 12:45 PM MT → 2:09 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RNO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precip0.03 in

RNO (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3762 · DEN → RNO

Odds over time

How late did it get to RNO?