WN 3867 · SJC → BUR

took off 8:50 AM PT · landed 9:35 AM PT (scheduled 8:40 AM PT → 10:00 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BUR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

↓ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3867 · SJC → BUR

Odds over time

How late did it get to BUR?