WN 3934 · SLC → SMF

took off 6:17 AM MT · expected to land 6:32 AM PT (scheduled 6:10 AM MT → 7:13 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SMF?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ SLC is busy at that time

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SLC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,933 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.30 in

SMF (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3934 · SLC → SMF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SMF?