WN 401 · MCO → PLS

departs 11:36 AM ET · arrives 1:49 PM EST

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at PLS more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PLS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ 11am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ PLS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.50 in

PLS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 401 · MCO → PLS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PLS?