WN 4054 · BZN → DEN

took off 8:39 AM MT · landed 10:10 AM MT (scheduled 7:55 AM MT → 9:46 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 39 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from BZN are usually not late

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility1.33333 mi Precip0.07 in

DEN (destination) Gusts43 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4054 · BZN → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?