WN 4086 · LAS → LBB

took off 9:19 AM PT · landed 12:49 PM CT (scheduled 9:00 AM PT → 1:07 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LBB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at LBB that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LBB (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4086 · LAS → LBB

Odds over time

How late did it get to LBB?