Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4144
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 4144 · ABQ → PHX
departs 9:19 PM MT · arrives 10:43 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 40%
Fri 11/6 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±10 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.