WN 4161 · STL → LGA

took off 12:19 PM CT · landed 3:19 PM ET (scheduled 11:55 AM CT → 3:27 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4161 · STL → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?