WN 4281 · AUS → LAS

departs 5:57 AM CT · arrives 6:56 AM PT

Your aircraft is N8880G (B38M), coming in as WN 1567 from DEN: landed 12:38 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from AUS are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4281 · AUS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?