Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4449
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 4449 · DAL → BNA
departs 8:24 PM CT · arrives 10:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 43%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.