WN 4574 · RSW → BNA

departs 8:10 AM ET · arrives 9:20 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8671D (B738), coming in as WN 966 from CMH: landed 6:57 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

98% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at RSW that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from RSW are usually not late

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.31 in

BNA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4574 · RSW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?