Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4587
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 4587 · DAL → BUR
departs 8:32 PM CT · arrives 9:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 37%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.