Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4629
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 4629 · HOU → PNS
departs 9:56 PM CT · arrives 11:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 29%
Fri 11/6 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
PNS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.