WN 4716 · ATL → HOU

departs 6:01 AM ET · arrives 7:09 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8544Z (B738), coming in as WN 2147 from BWI: landed 9:46 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4716 · ATL → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?