Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 483
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 483 · BNA → AUS
departs 10:25 PM CT · arrives 12:46 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 32%
Fri 11/6 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.