Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 49
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 49 · HOU → CRP
departs 8:26 PM CT · arrives 9:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 40%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CRP
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.07 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.