Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 50
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 50 · DAL → MCO
departs 8:16 PM CT · arrives 11:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 43%
Fri 11/6 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
9%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.