Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 54
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 54 · DAL → MCI
departs 10:16 PM CT · arrives 12:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±5 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.