Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 591
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 591 · PIT → MCO
departs 9:40 PM ET · arrives 11:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 27%
Fri 11/6 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.66 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.