Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 614
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 614 · BNA → MCI
departs 10:13 PM CT · arrives 12:02 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 29%
Thu 11/5 24%
Fri 11/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.