Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 647
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 647 · MDW → SEA
departs 10:03 PM CT · arrives 12:15 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 43%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.