WN 697 · BNA → RDU

took off 11:55 AM CT · landed 2:11 PM ET (scheduled 10:47 AM CT → 1:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RDU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ BNA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

RDU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 697 · BNA → RDU

Odds over time

How late did it get to RDU?