Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 726
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 726 · PDX → OAK
departs 9:29 PM PT · arrives 11:21 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 37%
Fri 11/6 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±7 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 8,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.