Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 746
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 746 · BNA → TUL
departs 10:14 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 28%
Fri 11/6 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
TUL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.59 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.