Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 899
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
WN 899 · PHX → SLC
departs 8:03 PM MT · arrives 9:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 50%
Fri 11/6 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 6.33333 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.