YX 4343 · BNA → JFK

departs 3:49 PM CT · arrives 7:25 PM ET

Your aircraft is N426YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4343 from JFK: landed 2:20 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

JFK (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4343 · BNA → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?