YX 4355 · OKC → LGA

departs 4:37 PM CT · arrives 9:17 PM ET

Your aircraft is N413YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4355 from LGA: landed 3:36 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OKC that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from OKC are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.93 in

LGA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4355 · OKC → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?