YX 4412 · DTW → LGA

departs 7:16 PM ET · arrives 9:16 PM ET

Your aircraft is N410YX (E75S), coming in as YX 4412 from LGA: landed 6:12 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4412 · DTW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?