YX 4443 · BOS → LGA

left the gate 3:30 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 3:29 PM ET → 4:55 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N862RW (E170), coming in as YX 4614 from LGA: landed 2:18 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4443 · BOS → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?