YX 4460 · ATL → LGA

departs 2:43 PM ET · arrives 5:07 PM ET

Your aircraft is N655RW (E170), coming in as YX 4460 from LGA: landed 1:46 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

93% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4460 · ATL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?