YX 4528 · PIT → LGA

left the gate 3:21 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 3:11 PM ET → 4:50 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N864RW (E170), coming in as YX 4528 from LGA: landed 2:12 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

92% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4528 · PIT → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?