Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4581
IN THE AIR (OFF 6:12 AM CT, ETA 10:00 AM ET)
Today
YX 4581 · TUL → LGA
took off 6:12 AM CT · expected to land 10:00 AM ET (scheduled 6:00 AM CT → 10:14 AM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
2%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to LGA?
LIVE
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On time or early
98%
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15–30 min late
2%
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30 min–1 hour late
<1%
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1–2 hours late
0%
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Over 2 hours late
0%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.