YX 4615 · CVG → BOS

departs 4:58 PM ET · arrives 7:26 PM ET

Your aircraft is N445YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4335 from JFK: landed 3:44 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from CVG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.17 in

BOS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4615 · CVG → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?