YX 4713 · CLE → LGA

departs 7:12 PM ET · arrives 8:55 PM ET

Your aircraft is N406YX (E75S), coming in as YX 4670 from JFK: landed 5:53 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4713 · CLE → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?