YX 4743 · BOS → BUF

departs 7:44 PM ET · arrives 9:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BUF at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4743 · BOS → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?