tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4747 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:32 PM ET, ETA 2:02 PM ET)
Today

YX 4747 · CVG → JFK

took off 12:32 PM ET · expected to land 2:02 PM ET (scheduled 12:19 PM ET → 2:32 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.5d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.