Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1013 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, November 3 Today

9K 1013 · BOS → RKD

departs 6:21 PM ET · arrives 7:18 PM ET

Your aircraft is P212 (P212), coming in as 9K 1856 from RKD: still at RKD, due off about 4:18 PM ET, 51 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at RKD more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RKD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1013 · BOS → RKD

Odds over time