Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1144 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, November 3 Today

9K 1144 · SDY → BIL

departs 9:30 AM MT · arrives 10:43 AM MT

Your aircraft is P212 (P212), coming in as 9K 1144 from BIL: still at BIL, due off about 7:50 AM MT, 11 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into BIL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SDY (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BIL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1144 · SDY → BIL

Odds over time