AA 1096 · DFW → SAT

departs 1:42 PM CT · arrives 3:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,629 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.51 in

SAT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,071 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1096 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?