AA 1360 · DFW → BUF

departs 11:51 AM CT · arrives 3:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

BUF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1360 · DFW → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?