AA 1577 · CHS → PHL

departs 5:55 AM ET · arrives 7:55 AM ET

Your aircraft is N8009T (A319), coming in as AA 1597 from PHL: landed 11:20 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from CHS are usually not late

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1577 · CHS → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?