AA 2103 · STL → DFW

departs 8:25 AM CT · arrives 10:21 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.59 in

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2103 · STL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?