Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2245 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:45 PM PT, ETA 7:37 PM CT)
Today

AA 2245 · SMF → ORD

took off 1:45 PM PT · expected to land 7:37 PM CT (scheduled 1:40 PM PT → 8:05 PM CT)
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
2% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    98%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.