AA 2718 · DFW → AVL

departs 1:08 PM CT · arrives 4:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

AVL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2718 · DFW → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?