AA 3239 · ORD → PIT

departs 12:26 PM CT · arrives 3:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.12 in

PIT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3239 · ORD → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?