AA 779 · DFW → EWR

departs 11:57 AM CT · arrives 4:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

EWR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 779 · DFW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?